{"id":9894,"date":"2026-03-13T10:07:14","date_gmt":"2026-03-13T09:07:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.norzpatrimonia.com\/blog\/?p=9894"},"modified":"2026-03-13T10:07:14","modified_gmt":"2026-03-13T09:07:14","slug":"alerta-maxima","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.norzpatrimonia.com\/blog\/alerta-maxima\/","title":{"rendered":"Alerta M\u00e1xima"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>La intensidad de acontecimientos en el 2026 est\u00e1 siendo fuera de lo com\u00fan, ni nos acordamos del Sr. Maduro y parece que el mundo haya tirado la llave de su celda, simplemente el foco est\u00e1 en otros lares y esa p\u00e1gina parece que se haya escrito hace a\u00f1os y apenas han pasado dos meses\u2026<\/p>\n<p>La velocidad de acontecimientos es sencillamente brutal y cerramos febrero con el inicio de un ataque a Ir\u00e1n de consecuencias imprevisibles. El consenso del mercado es un conflicto de pocas semanas y que Ir\u00e1n no tiene capacidad militar de un cierre permanente del estrecho de Ormuz, aut\u00e9ntica arteria principal de la actividad econ\u00f3mica mundial. Veamos si el consenso acierta, el mismo que preve\u00eda un conflicto r\u00e1pido en Ucrania y ya llevamos cuatro a\u00f1os\u2026<\/p>\n<p>El mes de febrero en s\u00ed, antes del ataque a Ir\u00e1n en las \u00faltimas horas del mes, estuvo marcado por el fuerte debate sobre la disrupci\u00f3n tecnol\u00f3gica de la IA, especialmente en las empresas de software y especialmente por el fuerte revuelo que cre\u00f3 la publicaci\u00f3n del Informe Citrini y las catastr\u00f3ficas consecuencias para la econom\u00eda al eliminar a corto plazo gran parte de los puestos de trabajo debido al avance de la IA. Los resultados de Nvidia fueron excepcionales, pero como el mercado no cree que puedan seguir siendo tan excepcionales en el futuro hizo que su cotizaci\u00f3n sufriera fuertes p\u00e9rdidas.<\/p>\n<p>Enfocamos el mes de marzo pendientes de Ir\u00e1n, se anticipa un final r\u00e1pido, aunque realmente nadie sabe que reservas de misiles y drones mantiene Ir\u00e1n, son estimaciones por tanto preferimos ser prudentes al respecto. Si sabemos que el Sr. Trump tiene prisa, si pasan 60 d\u00edas deber\u00e1 pedir una extensi\u00f3n al Congreso y principalmente, el elevado coste electoral de cara a las mid term elections del mes de noviembre, que tendr\u00eda que pagar si tuviera que poner tropas terrestres y el conflicto se extendiera en el tiempo. Ormuz es la clave.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La intensidad de acontecimientos en el 2026 est\u00e1 siendo fuera de lo com\u00fan, ni nos acordamos del Sr. Maduro y parece que el mundo haya tirado la llave de su celda, simplemente el foco est\u00e1 en otros lares y esa p\u00e1gina parece que se haya escrito hace a\u00f1os y apenas han pasado dos meses\u2026 La [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":9895,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"episode_type":"audio","audio_file":"","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"","cover_image_id":"","duration":"","filesize":"","filesize_raw":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[232,27],"tags":[],"series":[],"class_list":["post-9894","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-editorial","category-welcome-post-left"],"episode_featured_image":"https:\/\/www.norzpatrimonia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ormuz.png","episode_player_image":"https:\/\/www.norzpatrimonia.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/02\/blog-inversion.jpg","download_link":"","player_link":"","audio_player":false,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"light","subscribeUrls":{"apple_podcasts":{"key":"apple_podcasts","url":"","label":"Apple Podcasts","class":"apple_podcasts","icon":"apple-podcasts.png"},"stitcher":{"key":"stitcher","url":"","label":"Stitcher","class":"stitcher","icon":"stitcher.png"},"google_podcasts":{"key":"google_podcasts","url":"https:\/\/www.google.com\/podcasts?feed=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuYmxvZ2ludmVyc2lvbi5jb20vZmVlZC9wb2RjYXN0","label":"Google Podcasts","class":"google_podcasts","icon":"google-podcasts.png"},"spotify":{"key":"spotify","url":"https:\/\/open.spotify.com\/show\/1Vji4f6SYTHZ0OZC3w5ydB","label":"Spotify","class":"spotify","icon":"spotify.png"}},"rssFeedUrl":"https:\/\/www.norzpatrimonia.com\/blog\/feed\/podcast\/blog-inversion","embedCode":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"brkVu7g2Ci\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.norzpatrimonia.com\/blog\/alerta-maxima\/\">Alerta M\u00e1xima<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/www.norzpatrimonia.com\/blog\/alerta-maxima\/embed\/#?secret=brkVu7g2Ci\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" title=\"\u00abAlerta M\u00e1xima\u00bb \u2014 Blog Inversi\u00f3n\" data-secret=\"brkVu7g2Ci\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script>\n\/*! 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